Okay, folks. You tell me who wins.

Here we go.

Two questions.

Provide your answers in the reply box below (NOT ON FACEBOOK OR TWITTER).

Question 1: How many Electoral College votes do Joe Biden and Donald Trump get in the 2020 presidential election?

Question 2: What will the Democratic/Republican makeup of the new Senate be?

I won’t leave you without providing my own guesses.

  1. Biden 319, Trump 219. (I think Biden wins the same 232 Electoral College votes Hillary Clinton did in 2016, and he adds Wisconsin (10), Michigan (16), Pennsylvania (20), Florida (29), Arizona (11) and one from Nebraska. I don’t believe Biden will win Georgia, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio or Texas.
  2. Democrats 52, Republicans 48.

Okay, your turn.


When do the polls close in each state tomorrow night?

Photo: Anthony Moretti 18July2016

Borrowing liberally from CBS News, I can tell you

7 p.m. ET:

  • Georgia
  • Indiana* (Polls in 80 eastern counties close at 6 p.m. ET; 12 western counties at 7 p.m. ET)
  • Kentucky
  • South Carolina
  • Vermont
  • Virginia

7:30 p.m. ET:

  • North Carolina
  • Ohio
  • West Virginia

8 p.m. ET:

  • Alabama
  • Connecticut
  • Delaware
  • District of Columbia
  • Florida
  • Illinois
  • Maine
  • Maryland
  • Massachusetts 
  • Mississippi
  • Missouri
  • New Hampshire* (Poll closings can vary by municipality, to find the time your polling place closes, click here.)
  • New Jersey
  • Oklahoma
  • Pennsylvania
  • Rhode Island
  • Tennessee* (Closing time vary by county, look up poll closing times here)

8:30 p.m. ET:

  • Arkansas

9 p.m. ET:

  • Arizona 
  • Colorado
  • Kansas* (Polls close in 101 eastern counties at 8 p.m. ET)
  • Louisiana
  • Michigan* (Polls close in 79 eastern counties at 8 p.m. ET)
  • Minnesota
  • Nebraska* (Polls close in 75 eastern counties at 8 p.m. ET)
  • New Mexico
  • New York
  • North Dakota* (Polling hours vary by county, a full list is here)
  • South Dakota* (Polls close in the eastern counties at 8 p.m. ET)
  • Texas* (Polls close in 252 western counties at 8 p.m. ET)
  • Wisconsin
  • Wyoming

10 p.m. ET:

  • Iowa
  • Montana
  • Nevada
  • Utah

11 p.m. ET:

  • California
  • Idaho* (Polls close in southern counties at 10 p.m. ET) 
  • Oregon
  • Washington

12 a.m. ET:

  • Hawaii

1 a.m. ET:

  • Alaska

Why is Europe (and soon America?) dealing with an explosion of coronavirus again?

The Guardian reports multiple decisions made by European leaders and citizens contributed to the new set of lockdowns issued there. (Oh, and the same circumstances are evident in the U.S.).

The view of health experts now is that, for various reasons, Europe’s strategy for exiting its spring lockdowns failed. Either politicians ignored their advice, or the systems weren’t in place to implement it correctly. People’s goodwill and trust leached away as the pandemic dragged on, and when those experts started calling for stronger measures again this autumn – and the same exit strategy as before – politicians were even less willing to listen.

The fault is not only the politicians’. Some governments may have done better than others in managing their epidemics, but all of them are trying to satisfy as many of their voters as possible – and of course, to stay in power. The misunderstandings that have landed us in this new chapter of misery belong to all of us. There are really only two of them, but they have done a lot of damage: an inability to grasp the notion of exponentiality, and the dangerous idea that you can simultaneously save lives and spare the economy.